Cycle Analysis for Trading for Stocks and Commodities

The DOCument is a trader's journal focusing on analysis of stock and commodity markets from the standpoints of cycle analysis (for technical trade triggers) and macroeconomics (for a fundamental backdrop). Specifically, the Member Letter combines basic cycle techniques with proprietary technical and cycle analysis methodologies in order to determine trend changes and generate trade signals.

The Member Letter is published nightly and includes updated analysis, including charts, of the current cycle views on gold, oil, the dollar, and the stock market, as well as any trades opened or closed for the day. Cycle views are also frequently updated for other commodities, including sugar, cotton, copper, and coffee. More Member Benefits.

Member Letters - Cycle Analysis of Stocks and Commodities

Also Sprach Paul Kangas
August 26, 2014

I have been watching the markets much much longer than many of you may believe. My father began teaching me about equity valuations when I was a teenager, and I have many fond memories of the lessons. One of the memories relates to the Nightly Business Report, which my father and I used to watch together, as much to enjoy the puns of Paul Kangas as for the market report

A Conjecture on Gold
August 25, 2014

One thing that bugs me about my bearish view on gold's intermediate cycle is the fact that the dollar has recently gone vertical without knocking the legs out from under the yellow metal. Yes, gold's price has slumped about 40 bucks over the past week and a half, but we need to see a convincing, weekly drop of 3% or more. A possible setup on gold's weekly chart hints that such a drop may be arriving

Public Stocks and Commodities Market Blog Posts

Russian Equity Cycle Nears Low
August 15, 2014

A few weeks ago I highlighted my desire to buy Russian stocks should their stock market manage to set a weekly cycle low in a bullish manner, which is to say without forming a failed cycle. The action has not quite triggered a buy signal, but if last week's low can stick as a cycle low, an entry point should soon follow

Eyes for Russian Stocks
July 23, 2014

Professional investors love turmoil and panics. Such periods drive down the prices of assets related to the turmoil, delivering excellent, long-term opportunities. And so my investing persona (as opposed to my more dominant trading persona) cannot help but be piqued by the mess that has been created in Ukraine and the effects that crisis is having on Russian stocks

"Give me control of a nation's money supply, and I care not who makes its laws."
- Mayer Amschel Rothschild

Macroeconomic Articles

Gold and Silver: Questions and Answers with Rick Rule
Rick Rule discusses current issues within gold and silver markets.

Critique of Fed President Charlie Evans' Speech
A speech by Fed President, Charlie Evans, reveals the misguided economic theories influencing the FOMC.


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Sample Member Letters

Golden Dawn
October 24, 2013

A Cautionary Note on Gold
June 17, 2013

Abnormal Cycles
January 6, 2013

Comprehensive Review of Cycles
September 16, 2012

Dollar Antics Continue
July 5, 2012

Turkish Delight
March 14, 2012

Stalking the Coming ICLs
March 11, 2012

Dollar Peak in Sight
January 5, 2012

Sheer Panic
December 14, 2011

Dollar Scenarios
October 20, 2011 rss feed

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