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Cycle Analysis for Trading for Stocks and Commodities

The DOCument is a trader's journal focusing on analysis of stock and commodity markets from the standpoints of cycle analysis (for technical trade triggers) and macroeconomics (for a fundamental backdrop). Specifically, the Member Letter combines basic cycle trading techniques with proprietary technical and cycle analysis methodologies in order to determine trend changes and generate trade signals.

The Member Letter is published nightly and includes updated analysis of the current cycle views on gold, oil, the dollar, and the stock market, as well as any trades opened or closed for the day. Cycle views are also frequently updated for other commodities, including sugar, cotton, copper, and coffee. More Member Benefits.



Macroeconomic Blog

How is the TrendBands Fund Handling October?
October 15, 2014

As I begin this post, the S&P 500 is down 6.66% for the month. How is the hypothetical TrendBands Fund performing during this market meltdown, you may ask? Well, the Fund is up exactly 13 basis points. A nice glob of short positions, including a few big names that were added the week ending October 3, actually has the Fund
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One Cycle Trader Interviews Another
October 1, 2014

Gary Savage is an expert cycle trader and publisher of a successful market newsletter. His writings strongly influenced my own shift toward cycle methodology many years ago, and although our approaches now differ to a degree, the core techniques of cycle methodology remain constant. And so as a fellow cycle trader and publisher, I find myself in a unique position to
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Cycle Trading Newsletter

A Golden Nibble
October 20, 2014

Stocks posted another nice gain today, and I continue to believe bears will get burned by new highs in coming weeks. However, until the SPX rises above its LowerBand on the daily time frame, this 3-day rally could yet prove to be just a bear market bounce
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Stocks to Rally and then Tumble
October 19, 2014

Wednesday's letter mentioned a bit of discomfort I carried in our bearish equity framework. The rocket higher by equities into the end of the week did nothing to ease that wariness, and as usual, I react to such suspicions with hours of chart-gazing. One angle on this market has caused me to at least temporarily close my short. Let's first have a look at a bit of history
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"Give me control of a nation's money supply, and I care not who makes its laws."
- Mayer Amschel Rothschild





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Sample Member Letters

Time to Short Gold
July 24, 2014

Golden Dawn
October 24, 2013

A Cautionary Note on Gold
June 17, 2013

Abnormal Cycles
January 6, 2013

Comprehensive Review of Cycles
September 16, 2012

Dollar Antics Continue
July 5, 2012

Turkish Delight
March 14, 2012

Stalking the Coming ICLs
March 11, 2012

Dollar Peak in Sight
January 5, 2012

Sheer Panic
December 14, 2011


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