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March 16, 2014

Monitoring the Gold Rally

A Case for Caution

The majority of this weekend's letter will be spent discussing why, despite two months of solid rally, I remain skeptical of prognostications that gold's decline off its 2011 peak is complete. Before delving into those doubts, however, I have a few, quick notes to share regarding the stock market. A development in my statistical system, visualized as TrendBands on my charts, warns that stocks may have begun a more serious decline than most traders currently suspect ...

 

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