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January 7, 2014

Oil Cycle Case Study

TrendBands™ and the 2007 Oil Market

Markets appear to be frozen along with the East Coast weather, and I have nothing to add to our standing framework. Today's letter will therefore be dedicated to a study of how TrendBands would have guided us through the oil parabola of 2007 and the subsequent crash. This study is valuable because the early identification of the parabolic move is demonstrated, as well as some difficulties in navigating the downside. You will recall two facets of parabolic moves mentioned in the weekend letter. First ...

 

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