These investment articles the product of my enthusiasm and curiosity about macroeconomics and trading. More specifically, about macrosocioeconomics, because economics is really as much a study of human behavior as it is finance. The topics below touch on subjects both monetary and philosophical and are formalizations of my learning processes.
These articles are occasionally updated, so secondary perusals are recommended.
A Dow Theory Update from Tim Wood
March 26, 2010
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Dow theory combined with stock market cycle analysis predict lower lows for this bear market.
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A Critique of the Banking Reform Bill of 2009
December 12, 2009
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Congress bids for a power grab while doing little to prevent another crisis.
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Outlook 2009
January 4, 2009
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Stocks continue to slide, unemployment rises, commodities languish.
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Mid-Year Review 2008
June 14, 2008
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Gary Savage of the Smart Money Tracker guest writes a wonderfully detailed market outlook.
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Mid-Year Review 2007
July 17, 2007
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Pain for all asset classes lies ahead, but precious metals will perservere
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Equity Crash, an Allegorical Approach
January 23, 2007
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Poor Equity suffers from Fiscal's mendacious deceit.
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Outlook 2007
January 2, 2007
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Stocks plunge. Bonds falter. The dollar tests all-time lows.
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Post Pause Prospects
August 8, 2006
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Strategies for playing the end of the rate hike cycle
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The Mentality of the Successful Trader
August 8, 2006
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Trading well involves avoiding patterns of behavior that offer low probabilities of success
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Transitional Phase for Market Leadership
June 28, 2006
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The end of the rate hike cycle will herald the primary commodity bull market
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All Asset Classes Are About to Correct
April 25, 2006
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After a brief pause, commodities will soon be leaving stocks behind
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Outlook 2006
January 21, 2006
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Stocks and the dollar hit a brick wall. Gold and silver shine. Energy cools.
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Propensity to Print
Revised December 7, 2005
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Why Ben Bernanke will print money like never before
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Misallocation of Resources and Real Money
Revised November 25, 2005
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How monetary inflation leads to poor economic decisions
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Commodities: Futures or Equity?
Revised November 18, 2005
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Determining whether to buy silver contracts or miner shares
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What is Investing?
Revised June 12, 2005
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Exposing the fine line between investment and speculation
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Price Deception Indices
Revised January 20, 2005
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The folly of believing the government's CPI and PPI numbers
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